Elon mung imagine a computed terawatt, or about 1,43 billion ose 2.1x result of the US power


The time, we are all enough for Elon Musk’s Big Dreams through its different companies. Tesla is to transit the world to sustainable energy, and the world real ai, country is multi-planetlare (mars) and the interface in the widespread brain by name.

The latter places from mosses are in another level – musks music that he has been considered that the fastest way to bring therowatt of decaderinate online.

In order to understand that proposal that the global computing ability, it is likely to be 1 to 10 lambs, Data Centers, Data, and the infrastructed in US, China and Europe.

A therowatt of computing, assuming 10 ^ 11 ^ 12 flops / w, translates to 10 ^ 23 to 10 flops (100 zeethoff). This is 10 to 1000 times the ability to estimate of the ability of 1 to 10 zettafts (10 ^ 21 to 10 ^ 02 flops) in 2025.

This would need a massive accelect infractrout, equivalent to 20x power power or 1% of the great theoretical, rather than a practical reality.

Musk share an estimate that suggests the power requirement would be the equivalent of all power produced in America today. With a little help from the wicked, it looks like it can be a little on the low side.

A terawatt of compute requires 1 ting, produces 10 ^ 24 flops) the United States generate ~ 4,200 twh / year in 2025, equivalent to a average power of 0.48 TW.

So, 1 y of calculating power is around 2.1 times, all the space of medium power and ~ 77% of their installed capacities (1.3 tw).

The correct current of the moss on X is a response to a post by Jesse Peltan, that seems to start MUSK down this lines of thinking. In the answer, the musk suggests that the world would need a lot more solar to achieve this.

After the energy aspects maybe to Kardashev II, with the power of solar space, and another bilionfold if to show the energy of our galaxy.

Karashasv, introduced by nikolai kardashev in 1964, measure a technical notice of civilization to their energy services, with an × × × × × use of iie vinyerne (4 × III

The postal humanity that humanity progressing from the type of tipo, obtaining potentially, increasingly by a trillion across the power based on space.

MUSK provides another environment to help our small cagaric figure with this prosperous energy than 8 stars needed 1 therawatt of the computational power.

One thing we are not considered here that’s what you will do with that computing ability. You are certainly the collapses of hunger and even, it’s ability to improve it doesn’t seem to be padded by the stairs law. This means in how much does the sophistication mean and the ability to be limited by your wallet (and power).

Imagine a network centered network data network in the globlemally, perhaps in areas of renewed energy sources as a geothhermale.

What about it?

Let’s take a minute fun what you get 1tw of energy can cost.

The operation cost 1 Terawatt of Compute (10 ^ 23 to 10 ^ 24 Flops) is about $ 7.3 trillion to $ 12.9 trillion a yearwith a midpoint of $ 10.1 trillion / year. I am This includes:

  • Electricity: $ 700 billion- $ 1,14 trillion (average $ 911 billion, assuming the pen 1.3, $ 0.08 / KWH).
  • Capital (hardware, data centers, maintenance): $ 6.62- $ 11.74 trillion (average $ 9.18 trillion, assuming mixed hardware and 4-year of life).

This cost is ~ 10% of Global GDP, equivalent of Equate data data or 2-3x US. Energically and energetically and energetically and energetically and energetically and energetically

While considering the compute and what is possible, we also need to consider what ever seems in terms of hardware.

We assume the compute is based on GPU (eg Nvidia H100 or equivalent in 2025). A H100 COMPANY ~ 700 W and COSTS ~ $ 30,000 (2023 price; assumes $ 25,000 in 2025 Due to a marketplace).

GPU number I would need to create 1 tolls of computes, it’s around 1.43 billion Gpus (10 ^ 12 w ÷ 700 w). From the greatest nvidia nviid bare to the hundredths of thousands today, this is more than 1000x the amount, again, but far from practices.

It’s fun to dream sometimes.


Leave a Comment